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Championship | Gameweek 45
Jul 19, 2020 at 2pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Leeds logo

Derby
1 - 3
Leeds

Martin (54')
Sibley (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (56'), Shackleton (75'), Clarke (84' og.)

The Match

Match Report

Marcelo Bielsa's side were confirmed as Championship title winners on Saturday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Derby County and Leeds United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawLeeds United
20.83%23.22%55.95%
Both teams to score 52.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.12%73.88%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2%46.8%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 20.83%
    Leeds United 55.95%
    Draw 23.22%
Derby CountyDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.19%
2-1 @ 5.47%
2-0 @ 3.07%
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.61%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.83%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 11.12%
0-2 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-3 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 5.84%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-4 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 2.6%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-5 @ 0.94%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 55.95%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2019 12.30pm
May 15, 2019 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Leeds
2-4
Derby
May 11, 2019 5.15pm
Semi-Finals
Derby
0-1
Leeds
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Leeds
2-0
Derby
Roofe (20'), Harrison (47')
Roofe (54')

Wisdom (15'), Evans (45'), Holmes (45'), Waghorn (90')
Aug 11, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Derby
1-4
Leeds
Lawrence (12')
Ledley (41'), Keogh (42'), Waghorn (64'), Lowe (81')
Klich (5'), Roofe (21', 60'), Alioski (64')
Bamford (90'), Alioski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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