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Championship | Gameweek 39
Jun 27, 2020 at 1pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Reading logo

Derby
2 - 1
Reading

Lawrence (44'), Rooney (45+2' pen.)
Lawrence (13'), Shinnie (74'), Holmes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rinomhota (62')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams have won their last four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawReading
49.62%25.67%24.71%
Both teams to score 49.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45%53.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94%75.06%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29%54.71%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Reading 24.71%
    Draw 25.66%
Derby CountyDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Reading
3-0
Derby
Adam (5' pen.), Joao (58'), Meite (87' pen.)
Adam (62'), Blackett (82')

Lawrence (36'), Knight (55'), Lowe (60'), Holmes (74'), Bogle (80'), Sibley (82'), Forsyth (86')
Malone (4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Derby
2-1
Reading
Holmes (3'), Wilson (40')
Malone (69'), Holmes (81')
Aluko (66')
Ejaria (65')
Aug 3, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 1
Reading
1-2
Derby
Dadi Bodvarsson (52')
Meyler (37'), Kelly (38'), Meite (88')
Mount (60'), Lawrence (90')
Wisdom (22'), Bryson (43'), Lowe (46'), Johnson (88')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Reading
3-3
Derby
Kelly (16'), Barrow (32'), Dadi Bodvarsson (80')
Richards (49'), Moore (83')
Palmer (6'), Keogh (35'), Lawrence (46')
Olsson (20'), Palmer (50'), Keogh (83'), Weimann (83'), Carson (86')
Baird (85')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Derby
2-4
Reading
Russell (71'), Martin (90')
Winnall (23'), Nugent (60'), Johnson (81'), Martin (84')
Moore (9'), Aluko (13'), Beerens (54'), Barrow (75')
Gunter (32'), Barrow (67'), Mannone (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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