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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
26.29% ( 0.26) | 26.26% ( 0.04) | 47.44% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.2% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.29% ( 0.02) | 54.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% ( 0.02) | 76.03% ( -0.02) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.94% ( 0.23) | 36.05% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.16% ( 0.24) | 72.83% ( -0.24) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( -0.13) | 23.06% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.1% ( -0.19) | 56.89% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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