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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
47.47% (![]() | 26.01% (![]() | 26.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% (![]() | 53.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% (![]() | 75.08% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% (![]() | 22.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% (![]() | 56.16% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% (![]() | 35.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% (![]() | 72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11.84% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 12.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.3% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |