Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Nov 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 2
Sunderland

Jutkiewicz (78')
Mejbri (28')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simms (25'), Diallo (49')
Huggins (42'), Evans (74'), Matete (88'), Clarke (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Sunderland

Birmingham are defying pre-season predictions of relegation and showing the Championship they are a hard matchup for any side in the division after a spell which leaves them in touching distance of the top six. Sunderland have stuttered after a very promising start to the season and could struggle to handle an energetic home side buoyed by the return of Bielik on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Sunderland
31.07% ( 0)	27.28% ( -0)	41.65% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.03% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71% (

0.01)

56.28% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

0.01)

77.32% (

-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.82% (

0.01)

33.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22% (

0.01)

69.78% (

-0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

26.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

61.87% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 31.07%

Sunderland 41.64%

Draw 27.27%

Birmingham City	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.07%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.64%