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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
59.11% ( 0.11) | 23.99% ( -0.04) | 16.9% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 43.59% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.21% ( 0.06) | 55.79% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.08% ( 0.05) | 76.91% ( -0.05) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% ( 0.07) | 18.68% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.97% ( 0.11) | 50.02% ( -0.11) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% ( -0.05) | 46.4% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% ( -0.04) | 82.03% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 59.1% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |