MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 00:55:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.35pm UK
Fratton Park
Middlesbrough logo

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Ritchie (54', 82')
Ritchie (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Latte Lath (30')
Doak (24'), Edmundson (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Middlesbrough

While Portsmouth may have fared well in recent home outings, they will be aware of the tough test that awaits them on Saturday, and we think that Middlesbrough will have the extra quality required to condemn Pompey to their first home defeat since October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
26.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 23.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 49.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.112 0.11)44.23% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.11000000000001 0.11)66.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.093000000000004 0.09)30.34% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.111 0.11)66.52% (-0.111 -0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.055 0.05)48.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 26.44%
    Middlesbrough 49.81%
    Draw 23.75%
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.81%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough

Portsmouth
16.7%
Draw
19.4%
Middlesbrough
63.9%
36
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Clarke (11'), Conway (90' pen.)
Saydee (2', 25')
Towler (42'), Saydee (43'), Blair (54'), Norris (57'), Williams (80')
Mar 3, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-3
Middlesbrough
Halford (66' pen.)
Ben Haim (45'), Halford (55'), Rocha (55'), Ward (61'), Norris (69')
Bates (63'), Robson (56' pen.)
Bates (31'), Williams (45'), Robson (66')
Williams (90')
Aug 6, 2011 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Williams (54'), Emnes (24')
McDonald (56'), Williams (71')
Norris (47'), Varney (90')
Ben Haim (56'), Halford (56'), Ward (74'), Mokoena (76')
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Oct 2, 2010 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Portsmouth
Bates (29'), Robson (42' pen.)
Bates (56'), McMahon (88')
Robson (86')
Lawrence (88' pen.), Nugent (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd32216546232367
3Burnley32171323993064
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn32146123731648
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom321114741301147
7Bristol City32111294036445
8Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds32129114548-345
9Middlesbrough31128115042844
10Coventry CityCoventry32128124240244
11Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
12Norwich CityNorwich321110115044643
13Watford32126144248-642
14Millwall311010113132-140
15Preston North EndPreston3191393438-440
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd32911123445-1138
17Swansea CitySwansea32107153343-1037
18Portsmouth3289153955-1633
19Stoke CityStoke31711132839-1132
20Cardiff CityCardiff31710143453-1931
21Hull City3178163142-1129
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31610153464-3028
24Luton TownLuton3176183051-2127


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