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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Middlesbrough |
26.44% (![]() | 23.75% (![]() | 49.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.77% (![]() | 44.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.39% (![]() | 66.6% (![]() |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% (![]() | 30.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% (![]() | 66.52% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% (![]() | 17.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% (![]() | 48.61% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 6.64% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 11.13% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.59% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.33% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 66 | 19 | 47 | 69 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 67 |
3 | Burnley | 32 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 64 |
4 | Sunderland | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 62 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 48 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Bristol City | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 45 |
8 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 45 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 44 |
10 | Coventry CityCoventry | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 43 |
13 | Watford | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 42 |
14 | Millwall | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 38 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 37 |
18 | Portsmouth | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 33 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 31 |
21 | Hull City | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 29 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
24 | Luton TownLuton | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |