We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Preston North End
With both sides desperate for three points to strengthen their position in the fight at the bottom end of the Championship, we anticipate a tight contest at Fratton Park on Saturday.
Given the hosts' defensive frailties, we back Paul Heckingbottom's men to end their wait for a fourth league victory of the season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.