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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Sainz (8', 71'), Dieng (80' og.)
Ben Slimane (59'), Fisher (74')
McLean (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Conway (13', 40'), Azaz (45+2')
Morris (23'), Edmundson (25'), McGree (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Middlesbrough

Following back-to-back away draws, Norwich will be keen to get back to winning ways in front of their East Anglia faithful on Sunday afternoon. Middlesbrough will be full of confidence after conquering Sheffield United earlier in the week, and we feel that Boro should be good enough for a point at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.64% (0.206 0.21) 24.96% (0.384 0.38) 41.4% (-0.585 -0.59)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (-1.697 -1.7)45.96% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (-1.624 -1.62)68.26% (1.628 1.63)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.687 -0.69)26.33% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.926 -0.93)61.46% (0.932 0.93)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-1 -1)22.16% (1.004 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-1.533 -1.53)55.55% (1.537 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 33.64%
    Middlesbrough 41.4%
    Draw 24.96%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.404 0.4)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.411 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
55.6%
Draw
31.1%
Middlesbrough
13.3%
90
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-1
Norwich
Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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