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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Luton Town

Middlesbrough
vs.
Luton

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship

We say: Middlesbrough 1-1 Luton Town

With Boro having finally hit the goal trail in midweek, they will be confident on building on that performance. However, Luton may have finally turned the corner, leading us to predict a hard-fought draw for the Hatters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Luton Town win it is 0-1 (5.91%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
55.56% (0.752 0.75) 22.86% (-0.227 -0.23) 21.58% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (0.36199999999999 0.36)45.14% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.34500000000001 0.35)67.48% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.389 0.39)16.1% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (0.707 0.71)45.5% (-0.707 -0.71)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.295 -0.3)34.99% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.26% (-0.31 -0.31)71.74% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.55%
    Luton Town 21.58%
    Draw 22.86%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.72% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.58%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton?

Middlesbrough
Draw
Luton Town
Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
0.0%
3
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 44
Luton
2-1
Middlesbrough
Lockyer (49'), Morris (67' pen.)
Archer (40')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')
Clark (33')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Luton
1-1
Middlesbrough
Rea (19')
Rea (75')
Watmore (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley136521761123
5Millwall146441712522
6Watford147162222022
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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