Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.