Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Bahia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
66.12% ( 1.02) | 20.15% ( -0.48) | 13.72% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.9) | 46.36% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( 0.84) | 68.65% ( -0.84) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( 0.58) | 13.15% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.16% ( 1.17) | 39.83% ( -1.17) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.25) | 45.11% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.97% ( -0.2) | 81.02% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Flamengo 66.11%
Bahia 13.72%
Draw 20.15%
| Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
| 2-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.82% Total : 66.11% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.15% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.72% |
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 29
Bahia
0-2
Flamengo
Lucas (34'), Alcaraz (90+11' pen.)
De Arrascaeta (45+1'), Henrique (66'), Pereira (72'), Rodrigues de Souza (89')
De Arrascaeta (45+1'), Henrique (66'), Pereira (72'), Rodrigues de Souza (89')
Sep 13, 2024 1.45am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Flamengo
1-0
Bahia
Aug 29, 2024 1.30am
