Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.