Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.