Leeds United boast more quality throughout their ranks and have enjoyed the far stronger Championship season, but they are bound to face a tough test at Hillsborough on Friday against a resurgent Sheffield Wednesday side.
With both sides desperate for three points and full of confidence, and with the added stakes of a derby fixture, we predict a cagey encounter ending level in Sheffield.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.