Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 1
Leicester

Roberts (80'), Faes (83' og.), Bamford (90+4')
Rodon (45+3'), Ampadu (52'), Kamara (75'), Roberts (87'), Meslier (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Faes (15')
Pereira (19'), Vestergaard (90+3')

Daniel Farke, Enzo Maresca react as Leeds United stun Leicester City with late comeback

Daniel Farke and Enzo Maresca react to Leeds United producing a sensational turnaround to record a 3-1 victory over Championship leaders Leicester City.

Feb 24, 09:42

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Leicester City

Like in the reverse fixture, any result feels possible, particularly an away one with the pressure off to a certain extent. Nevertheless, Leeds look unbeatable at present, and we are backing the Yorkshire giants to run out victors in a high-quality tussle at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Leicester City
48.75% ( 0.02)	22.73% ( 0.01)	28.51% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 62.59% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.07% (

-0.05)

37.93% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.81% (

-0.06)

60.18% (

0.06)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.12% (

-0.01)

15.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.91% (

-0.02)

45.09% (

0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

-0.05)

25.6% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.52% (

-0.06)

60.48% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 48.75%

Leicester City 28.51%

Draw 22.73%

Leeds United	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.75%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.51%