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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Leeds logo

Swansea
0 - 4
Leeds


Wood (28'), Tymon (42'), Allen (68')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Summerville (8'), Piroe (10'), Gnonto (35', 72')
Piroe (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Swansea
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Rotherham
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Leeds United

Swansea were impressive during their 1-0 win over promotion-chasing Hull on the weekend, but the visit of Leeds will be a much sterner test for the Welsh side. The Whites have the strength in depth at the top end of the pitch to outscore opponents, and we feel that Farke's men will make it seven-straight wins in the Championship on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
25.39% (0.228 0.23) 23.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 51.33% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 57.83% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.03% (0.088000000000001 0.09)42.97% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.63% (0.086999999999996 0.09)65.37% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.227 0.23)30.49% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (0.271 0.27)66.7% (-0.271 -0.27)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)16.81% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.22% (-0.105 -0.1)46.78% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 25.39%
    Leeds United 51.33%
    Draw 23.27%
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.043 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.39%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.33%

How you voted: Swansea vs Leeds

Swansea City
6.9%
Draw
12.9%
Leeds United
80.2%
116
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
3-1
Swansea
Piroe (4'), Rutter (45+3'), James (61')
Paterson (1')
Lowe (73')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-1
Swansea

Alioski (21'), Phillips (95')
Routledge (90')
Fulton (78'), Byers (95')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Leeds
2-1
Swansea
Jansson (20'), Harrison (34')
Harrison (94')
McBurnie (87' pen.)
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Leeds
McBurnie (24', 51')
Roofe (40'), Hernandez (79')
Phillips (13'), Roofe (27'), Baker (37'), Saiz (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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