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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
25.39% ( 0.23) | 23.28% ( 0.02) | 51.33% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.83% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.03% ( 0.09) | 42.97% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.63% ( 0.09) | 65.37% ( -0.09) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( 0.23) | 30.49% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( 0.27) | 66.7% ( -0.27) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -0.06) | 16.81% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.22% ( -0.1) | 46.78% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.39% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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