MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:03:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Stoke logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Stoke

James (33')
Gruev (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Stoke City

 Stoke's offensive forces are rarely kept out on enemy territory, but shutting up shop at the other end of the pitch is where the Potters' problems lie away from home, and such vulnerabilities will surely be exposed by the Championship's best home team. Fatigue may be starting to set in for Farke's overworked troops, but the Whites boss can adjust his attacking setup with some formidable options and ought to oversee a seventh straight league win at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
61.09% (0.394 0.39) 20.65% (0.061 0.06) 18.26% (-0.453 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (-1.032 -1.03)39.91% (1.034 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-1.078 -1.08)62.27% (1.081 1.08)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.208 -0.21)12.62% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.433 -0.43)38.74% (0.435 0.44)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-1.098 -1.1)35.36% (1.102 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-1.162 -1.16)72.12% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 61.09%
    Stoke City 18.26%
    Draw 20.65%
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.303 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke

Leeds United
86.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stoke City
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
 Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
> Match Report
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!