Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 0
Stoke

James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Stoke City

Stoke's offensive forces are rarely kept out on enemy territory, but shutting up shop at the other end of the pitch is where the Potters' problems lie away from home, and such vulnerabilities will surely be exposed by the Championship's best home team. Fatigue may be starting to set in for Farke's overworked troops, but the Whites boss can adjust his attacking setup with some formidable options and ought to oversee a seventh straight league win at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Stoke City
61.09% ( 0.39)	20.65% ( 0.06)	18.26% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.09% (

-1.03)

39.91% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.72% (

-1.08)

62.27% (

1.08)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.38% (

-0.21)

12.62% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.25% (

-0.43)

38.74% (

0.44)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-1.1)

35.36% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-1.16)

72.12% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 61.09%

Stoke City 18.26%

Draw 20.65%

Leeds United	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 61.09%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.65%	1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.7% Total : 18.26%