Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 3-1 Stoke City
Stoke's offensive forces are rarely kept out on enemy territory, but shutting up shop at the other end of the pitch is where the Potters' problems lie away from home, and such vulnerabilities will surely be exposed by the Championship's best home team. Fatigue may be starting to set in for Farke's overworked troops, but the Whites boss can adjust his attacking setup with some formidable options and ought to oversee a seventh straight league win at Elland Road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Stoke City |
61.09% ( 0.39) | 20.65% ( 0.06) | 18.26% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.09% ( -1.03) | 39.91% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.72% ( -1.08) | 62.27% ( 1.08) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.38% ( -0.21) | 12.62% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.25% ( -0.43) | 38.74% ( 0.44) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -1.1) | 35.36% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.88% ( -1.16) | 72.12% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Leeds United 61.09%
Stoke City 18.26%
Draw 20.65%
| Leeds United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.3)1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 61.09% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.7% Total : 18.26% |
How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke
Leeds United
86.7%Draw
6.3%Stoke City
7.0%143
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
