Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.