Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.