Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
May 5, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Henan0 - 1Beijing Guoan
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Beijing Guoan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shenzhen 1-1 Henan
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-0 Shandong
Saturday, April 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Saturday, April 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
Result | ||
Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
32.95% ( 0.12) | 26.06% ( -0.03) | 40.99% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% ( 0.15) | 50.92% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( 0.13) | 72.8% ( -0.13) |
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% ( 0.15) | 29.17% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% ( 0.19) | 65.11% ( -0.19) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( 0.02) | 24.54% ( -0.02) |