Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
