Shenhua will be hoping the defeat in their last home outing was just a minor blip, and they can quickly return to the form which had seen them go on a seven-month unbeaten run here. Meizhou will be confident of claiming another scalp after beating two sides in the top six, but they may find that slightly more difficult on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
44.18% ( 0.06)	27.13% ( -0.05)	28.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.31% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.35% (

0.18)

56.65% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

0.14)

77.61% (

-0.15)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.11)

25.49% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

0.16)

60.32% (

-0.16)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.84% (

0.09)

35.16% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.09% (

0.09)

71.91% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 44.17%

Meizhou Hakka 28.68%

Draw 27.13%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.17%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.68%