The teams both come into this one on a decent run of results, so we are expecting a cracking and end-to-end affair. That said, we are also tipping the home side to come away with a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 2-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (13.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Port	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
36.72% ( 0.06)	31.4% ( -0.04)	31.87% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 38.42% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.64% (

0.11)

69.36% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.18% (

0.07)

86.82% (

-0.07)

Shanghai Port Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74% (

0.1)

36.26% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96% (

0.1)

73.04% (

-0.1)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.27% (

0.05)

39.73% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

0.04)

76.4% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Port 36.72%

Chengdu Qianbao 31.87%

Draw 31.4%

Shanghai Port	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.72%	0-0 @ 14.4% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.4%	0-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 31.87%