Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shenzhen in this match.