Shandong

4 - 2

Shenzhen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.