Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.59%) and 0-3 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.