Club World Cup | Fifth-Place Final
Feb 9, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Al-Nahyan Stadium
Monterrey3 - 1Al Jazira
We said: Monterrey 2-1 Al Jazira Club
Neither side can progress any further in the competition, but it is still an important match, and we are expecting a close game. Al Jazira are certainly capable of winning, but Monterrey have a lot of talent in the final third, and we fancy the Mexican club to record a 2-1 victory on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Al Jazira Club had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Al Jazira Club win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Al Jazira Club |
| 51.01% | 28.9% | 20.08% |
| Both teams to score 36.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
