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Inter Miami
CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 4, 2024 at 1am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
1 - 2
Monterrey

Aviles (19')
Gomez (33'), Alba (42'), Ruiz (61'), Busquets (76'), Suarez (89'), Sailor (90+3')
Ruiz (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Meza (69'), Rodriguez (89')
Gallardo (45+3'), Rodriguez (83'), Vegas (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Inter Miami and Monterrey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 Monterrey

While Monterrey did concede their first loss of the season over the weekend, Ortiz notably rested a few key players for that match, likely with one eye on this crucial encounter. With Messi missing from the hosts' lineup and Monterrey back to full strength, we feel the visitors will have too much firepower for the Herons in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monterrey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monterrey.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawMonterrey
31.24% (-4.149 -4.15) 25.08% (0.493 0.49) 43.68% (3.651 3.65)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-3.041 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-3.39 -3.39)47.25% (3.385 3.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-3.229 -3.23)69.48% (3.226 3.23)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-4.148 -4.15)28.47% (4.144 4.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (-5.526 -5.53)64.24% (5.522 5.52)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.273 0.27)21.64% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.421 0.42)54.75% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 31.24%
    Monterrey 43.68%
    Draw 25.07%
Inter MiamiDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.203 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.645 -0.65)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.694 -0.69)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.474 -0.47)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.368 -0.37)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.24%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.41 0.41)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.829 0.83)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.441 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 9.43% (1.337 1.34)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.384 0.38)
0-2 @ 7.22% (1.075 1.08)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.233 0.23)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.575 0.58)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.103 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.23 0.23)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Monterrey

Inter Miami
47.5%
Draw
10.0%
Monterrey
42.5%
40
rhs 2.0
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