CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2024 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium
Cincinnati0 - 1Monterrey
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between FC Cincinnati and Monterrey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Pumas
Monday, March 4 at 1am in Liga MX
Monday, March 4 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Monterrey |
40.81% ( -0.2) | 25.38% ( -0.02) | 33.81% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( 0.13) | 47.79% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( 0.12) | 69.98% ( -0.12) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.04) | 23.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.06) | 57.16% ( 0.06) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.2) | 27.1% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.51% ( 0.26) | 62.49% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati 40.81%
Monterrey 33.81%
Draw 25.38%
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.81% |
Form Guide
