MX23RW : Monday, March 10 00:08:57| >> :60:100:100:
Inter Miami
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 26, 2025 at 1am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Kansas

Messi (19'), Allende (45+1'), Suarez (45+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Rodriguez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Champions Cup clash between Inter Miami and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 NY City
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-0 Sporting Kansas City (Inter Miami advances 3-0 on aggregate)

Miami only need one half-chance to make it count, while Sporting have not shown much decisiveness in the attacking third, which we believe will make the difference on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawSporting Kansas City
56.34% (-0.379 -0.38) 20.4% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 23.25% (0.317 0.32)
Both teams to score 65.73% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.49% (0.113 0.11)31.5% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.02% (0.13500000000001 0.14)52.98% (-0.142 -0.14)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)11.3% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.07% (-0.14 -0.14)35.93% (0.134 0.13)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (0.309 0.31)25.89% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (0.42 0.42)60.88% (-0.427 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 56.34%
    Sporting Kansas City 23.25%
    Draw 20.4%
Inter MiamiDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.62% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Kansas

Inter Miami
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Sporting Kansas City
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2025 1am
First Round 1st Leg
Kansas
0-1
Inter Miami

Garcia (74')
Messi (56')
Redondo (80')
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
Kansas
2-3
Inter Miami
Thommy (6', 58')
Hernandez (79'), Radoja (83'), Davis (88')
Gomez (18'), Messi (51'), Suarez (71')
Aviles (15'), Gomez (56')
Sep 10, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-2
Kansas
Campana (25' pen., 45'), Farias (60')
Aviles (66'), Alba (90+3')
Salloi (9'), Pulido (78')
Gutierrez (33'), Leibold (79')
rhs 2.0
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