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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York City

Inter Miami
2 - 2
NY City

Aviles (5'), Segovia (90+10')
Alba (24'), Cremaschi (41'), Messi (90+15')
Aviles (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ilencic (26'), Martinez (55')
Tanasijevic (45+1'), Freese (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, February 20 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: NY City 0-2 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, November 23 at 10.30pm in MLS Playoffs

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 New York City FC

Miami are used to quick turnaround games, like they will experience on Saturday, and we expect them to put forth a determined effort and make a statement to start the regular season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
41.83% (-2.796 -2.8) 24.15% (0.7 0.7) 34.02% (2.095 2.1)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-1.762 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-2.642 -2.64)42.09% (2.642 2.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (-2.703 -2.7)64.5% (2.703 2.7)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-2.28 -2.28)20.31% (2.28 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31% (-3.766 -3.77)52.69% (3.768 3.77)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)24.27% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (-0.061 -0.06)58.63% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 41.83%
    New York City FC 34.02%
    Draw 24.15%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.374 0.37)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.478 -0.48)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.333 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.246 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.241 -0.24)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.561 0.56)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.356 0.36)
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.786 0.79)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.552 0.55)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.164 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.258 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.02%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY City

Inter Miami
95.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 7pm
NY City
1-1
Inter Miami
Sands (90+5')
Rodriguez (71'), Parks (80'), Tanasijevic (86'), Parks (86')
Campana (75')
Fray (64'), Allen (65'), Alba (67'), Aviles (68'), Suarez (68')
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
Inter Miami
1-1
NY City
Suarez (14')
Gressel (53'), Sailor (62'), Aviles (80'), Suarez (90')
Martinez (34')
Tanasijevic (33'), Jones (88')
Oct 1, 2023 1.32am
Inter Miami
1-1
NY City
Aviles (90+5')
Cremaschi (33'), Aviles (40'), Farias (62'), Krivtsov (69'), Arroyo (70'), Allen (90+7')
Rodriguez (77')
Ledezma (52'), Jasson (81')
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Oct 18, 2022 12am
rhs 2.0
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