Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.