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Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Austin
1 - 0
Kansas

Bukari (76')
Desler (36'), Sanchez (58'), Vazquez (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thommy (35'), Radoja (59'), Joveljic (85'), Davis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, February 20 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City are showing no signs of putting last season's woes behind them just yet, and Austin will fancy their chances of coming away with maximum points. We are tipping the hosts to run out fairly comfortable winners at the sound of the final whistle in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
55.82% (-0.238 -0.24) 22.41% (0.096 0.1) 21.77% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.11% (-0.26 -0.26)42.89% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.71% (-0.259 -0.26)65.29% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (-0.169 -0.17)15.22% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (-0.317 -0.32)43.88% (0.316 0.32)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)33.54% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 55.82%
    Sporting Kansas City 21.77%
    Draw 22.4%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 55.82%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Austin vs Kansas

Austin FC
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sporting Kansas City
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 1.30am
Kansas
2-0
Austin
Leibold (26'), Afrifa (69')
Davis (34'), Pulido (45+3'), Russell (90+2')

Wolff (29'), Rubio (34'), Valencia (64')
May 19, 2024 1.30am
Austin
3-2
Kansas
Obrian (28', 39'), Driussi (46')
Cascante (23'), Kolmanic (70'), Pereira (89'), Valencia (90')
Russell (19'), Davis (63')
Fontas (88'), Radoja (90+4')
Jul 16, 2023 2.30am
Austin
2-1
Kansas
Zardes (17'), Finlay (19')
Cascante (59')
Rosero (33')
Fontas (8'), Vermes (9'), Davis (53')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
4-1
Austin
Pulido (19', 57'), Castellanos (47'), Shelton (89')
Radoja (61'), Thommy (87')
Driussi (61')
Cascante (52'), Zardes (60')
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Austin
4-3
Kansas
Gabrielsen (68'), Driussi (90+5')
Agade (86'), Salloi (88')
rhs 2.0
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