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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Municipal de Deportes

Barbastro
1 - 0
Ponferradina

de Mesa (44')
de Mesa (38'), Carlos Solana (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cerda (47'), Jimenez (62'), Igbekeme (75')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Barbastro and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 1-4 Ponferradina
Sunday, May 28 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Barbastro had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.32%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Barbastro win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
BarbastroDrawPonferradina
12.34% (-0.057 -0.06) 22.01% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 65.66% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 38.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.36% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05)77.38% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Barbastro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.5% (-0.058 -0.06)53.5% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.04% (-0.036 -0.04)86.97% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (0.060000000000002 0.06)16.57% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.65% (0.105 0.1)46.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Barbastro 12.34%
    Ponferradina 65.65%
    Draw 22.01%
BarbastroDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 12.34%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 15.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 14.32% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 8.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.37% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.86% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-5 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 65.65%

rhs 2.0
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