Copa del Rey | Round of 32

Jan 7, 2024 at 11am UK

Estadio Municipal de El Plantio

Burgos
0 - 3
Mallorca

Sancris (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (63'), Larin (74'), Prats (81')
Sanchez (58'), Van der Heyden (68')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Burgos and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Burgos
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca are likely to rotate their squad for this one but should have more than enough depth in their squad to secure another comfortable win in this competition. They have already eased past two lower-division sides without conceding in the last two rounds, and we fancy them to shut out this opponent as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Mallorca
40.55% ( 0.09)	28.36% ( 0.15)	31.08% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 45.92% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.81% (

-0.59)

60.19% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.61% (

-0.45)

80.38% (

0.45)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.23)

29.09% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

-0.29)

65.01% (

0.29)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

-0.49)

35.23% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

-0.51)

71.98% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Burgos 40.55%

Mallorca 31.08%

Draw 28.36%

Burgos	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.36%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 31.08%