Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.94%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.99%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Alaves |
39.94% ( 0.04) | 31.59% ( -0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 37.1% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
29.56% ( 0.17) | 70.44% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.48% ( 0.11) | 87.51% ( -0.11) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% ( 0.12) | 34.78% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.49% ( 0.13) | 71.51% ( -0.13) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.88% ( 0.12) | 43.12% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.61% ( 0.11) | 79.39% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.83% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.94% | 0-0 @ 14.99% ( -0.1) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.58% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
6 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |