MX23RW : Friday, March 14 09:03:43| >> :60:118:118:
Centro Sportivo Alagoano
Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 14, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Universitario da UFAL

CSA
5 - 0
Tuna Luso

Cachoeira Silveira (2'), Luiz da Silva (17'), Marques Rezende (20', 24'), Brito Batista (62')
Tavares Silva (56'), Rodrigues Vieira Junior (57')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Raizeman da Silva Oliveira (70'), Raizeman da Silva Oliveira (71')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Centro Sportivo Alagoano and Tuna Luso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 0-2 CSA
Wednesday, February 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Tuna Luso 1-0 Sampaio Correa
Wednesday, February 19 at 6.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Centro Sportivo Alagoano win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Tuna Luso had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Centro Sportivo Alagoano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Tuna Luso win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Centro Sportivo Alagoano would win this match.

Result
Centro Sportivo AlagoanoDrawTuna Luso
66.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 20.26% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 12.77% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.7% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (-0.216 -0.22)48.92% (0.215 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (-0.196 -0.2)71.01% (0.193 0.19)
Centro Sportivo Alagoano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)13.69% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.08% (-0.191 -0.19)40.92% (0.191 0.19)
Tuna Luso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.79% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)48.21% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.61% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)83.38% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Centro Sportivo Alagoano 66.96%
    Tuna Luso 12.77%
    Draw 20.26%
Centro Sportivo AlagoanoDrawTuna Luso
1-0 @ 13.12% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 66.96%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 20.26%
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 12.77%

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