MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 09:30:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
2 - 1
Red Star

Anziani (57', 81')
Barreto (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lemonnier (21')
Mbock (32'), Lemonnier (90+5')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Red Star.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grenoble 2-2 Ajaccio
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Red Star 2-0 Amiens
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 43.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawRed Star
43.08% (0.105 0.1) 28.65% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 28.28% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.234 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.96% (0.295 0.3)62.04% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.23% (0.217 0.22)81.77% (-0.214 -0.21)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.202 0.2)28.59% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.25 0.25)64.39% (-0.247 -0.25)
Red Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.155 0.16)38.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (0.149 0.15)75.18% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 43.08%
    Red Star 28.27%
    Draw 28.63%
AjaccioDrawRed Star
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Red Star

Ajaccio
Draw
Red Star
Ajaccio
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Red Star
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Red Star
1-0
Ajaccio
Renel (3')
Kouagba (90'), Badji (90+2')

Vidal (90'), Sollacaro (90+2'), Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (90+1')
Mar 8, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-0
Red Star
Tramoni (43'), Avinel (74'), Choplin (83')
Tomas (25'), Kiki (39'), Lefebvre (42'), Camara (48')
Oct 5, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 10
Red Star
2-0
Ajaccio
Teuma (28' pen.), Diallo (90')
Satli (6'), Derrien (75')

Avinel (24'), Lejeune (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient34225768313771
2Paris FCParis FC34216755332269
3Metz341811564343065
4DunkerqueDunkerque34175124740756
5GuingampGuingamp341741357451255
6Annecy34149114243-151
7Laval34148124438650
8Bastia34111584337648
9Grenoble34137144344-146
10Troyes34135163634244
11AmiensAmiens34134173850-1243
12Ajaccio34126163042-1242
13PauPau341012123953-1442
14Rodez AFRodez AF34912135654239
15Red Star34911143751-1438
16Clermont34712153046-1633
17Martigues3495202956-2732
18Caen3457223158-2722


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