MX23RW : Wednesday, June 26 01:39:37| >> :60:579:579:
Corinthians
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 12am UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
2 - 1
America FC

Alberto (42'), Caca (90+1')
Garro (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
da Silva Costa Ferreira (52')
da Silva Costa Ferreira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and America de Natal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 4-0 Argentinos Jrs
Wednesday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America FC 1-1 Juventude (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 26 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Corinthians 2-0 America de Natal

Despite America FC pushing Corinthians all the way in the first leg of the game, the hosts have not lost any of their last six home games heading into this one, and we expect them to continue that streak with a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for America de Natal had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for an America de Natal win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawAmerica de Natal
64.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 20.71%14.7% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.03% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.96%
America de Natal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.09% (0.007000000000005 0.01)43.91% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)80.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 64.59%
    America de Natal 14.7%
    Draw 20.71%
CorinthiansDrawAmerica de Natal
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.48%
4-0 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.96%
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.7%

How you voted: Corinthians vs America FC

Corinthians
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
America de Natal
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 2, 2024
12am
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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