Palmeiras

2 - 0

Gremio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.