Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2023 at 12am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras1 - 2Sao Paulo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, July 9 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 9 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
We said: Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo
Form often goes out of the window in tense derby matches, but with neither side showing much of late, this game could go the distance. A repeat of last season's cup tie which went to penalties is a real possibility, and Sao Paulo will hope to win in the lottery of the shootout again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Sao Paulo |
50.8% ( -0.05) | 24.42% ( 0) | 24.77% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
