MX23RW : Friday, November 22 06:32:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Fluminense

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Fluminense

Luciano (87')
Neves (55'), Lanza (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Melo (11'), Arias (86')
Arias (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Cristal
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fluminense

Both teams do boast plenty of quality in their ranks, but the hosts are low on confidence having suffered three league defeats recently, while their visitors have their sights set on second, third and fourth spots, and we envisage Diniz's side having what it takes to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
54.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 22.33% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)46.61% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.025999999999996 0.03)34.64% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.026999999999997 0.03)71.37% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 54.45%
    Fluminense 22.33%
    Draw 23.21%
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 22.33%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Fluminense

Sao Paulo
34.9%
Draw
23.3%
Fluminense
41.9%
43
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Fluminense
3-1
Sao Paulo
Cano (48', 56', 59')
Luciano (30')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
2-2
Fluminense
Luciano (34'), Patrick (42')
Diego (18'), Luciano (31'), Patrick (67'), Calleri (79')
Andre (25'), Manoel (64')
Andre (79'), Paulista (85')
Sep 13, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 20
Fluminense
2-1
Sao Paulo
Fred (57'), Nino (58'), Claro (72'), Andre (85'), Bobadilla (90+6')
Gomes (36'), Miranda (76'), Rigoni (80'), Neves (87')
May 30, 2021 1am
Gameweek 1
Sao Paulo
0-0
Fluminense
Reinaldo (13')
Hernandez (37'), Yago (69')
Dec 27, 2020 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!