MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:03:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Fluminense

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Fluminense

Luciano (87')
Neves (55'), Lanza (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Melo (11'), Arias (86')
Arias (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Cristal
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fluminense

Both teams do boast plenty of quality in their ranks, but the hosts are low on confidence having suffered three league defeats recently, while their visitors have their sights set on second, third and fourth spots, and we envisage Diniz's side having what it takes to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
54.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 22.33% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)46.61% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.025999999999996 0.03)34.64% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.026999999999997 0.03)71.37% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 54.45%
    Fluminense 22.33%
    Draw 23.21%
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 22.33%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Fluminense

Sao Paulo
34.9%
Draw
23.3%
Fluminense
41.9%
43
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Fluminense
3-1
Sao Paulo
Cano (48', 56', 59')
Luciano (30')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
2-2
Fluminense
Luciano (34'), Patrick (42')
Diego (18'), Luciano (31'), Patrick (67'), Calleri (79')
Andre (25'), Manoel (64')
Andre (79'), Paulista (85')
Sep 13, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 20
Fluminense
2-1
Sao Paulo
Fred (57'), Nino (58'), Claro (72'), Andre (85'), Bobadilla (90+6')
Gomes (36'), Miranda (76'), Rigoni (80'), Neves (87')
May 30, 2021 1am
Gameweek 1
Sao Paulo
0-0
Fluminense
Reinaldo (13')
Hernandez (37'), Yago (69')
Dec 27, 2020 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Fluminense32107152834-637
14CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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