Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo0 - 2Palmeiras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 5-0 Tolima
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Sao Paulo 2-2 Palmeiras
Given that Palmeiras remain unbeaten in Serie A this season, we expect the visitors to avoid defeat at Morumbi, but Sao Paulo's strong home form suggests that Dorival Junior's men will get something from Sunday's showdown. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Palmeiras |
38.13% ( 1.44) | 26.86% ( -0.19) | 35.01% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
