Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Alianza Lima0 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Lima | Draw | River Plate |
| 24.58% | 24.15% | 51.27% |
| Both teams to score 54.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
