Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Fortaleza and Deportivo Maldonado.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Fortaleza
Friday, February 24 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, February 24 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Maldonado 3-2 Boston River
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 76.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.66%) and 3-0 (11.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
76.78% ( 0.86) | 16.29% ( -0.84) | 6.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 35.11% ( 2.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
