Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 24, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno
Maldonado0 - 0Fortaleza
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Maldonado
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Santos 0-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.17%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fortaleza |
12.62% ( -0.48) | 22.16% ( -0.24) | 65.21% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 39.13% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.05) | 56.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( -0.04) | 77.37% ( 0.04) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.99% ( -0.82) | 53.01% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.34% ( -0.53) | 86.66% ( 0.53) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.23) | 16.71% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.39% ( 0.41) | 46.61% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Deportivo Maldonado 12.62%
Fortaleza 65.2%
Draw 22.15%
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.02% Total : 12.62% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 15.84% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 14.17% ( 0.24)1-2 @ 9% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 8.46% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 65.2% |
How you voted: Maldonado vs Fortaleza
Deportivo Maldonado
33.3%Draw
11.1%Fortaleza
55.6%9
Form Guide
