Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Maldonado3 - 2Boston River
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Boston River.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Fortaleza
Friday, February 24 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, February 24 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 Huracan
Thursday, February 23 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 23 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
28.98% ( 0.19) | 29.17% ( -0.08) | 41.85% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 42.97% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.54% ( 0.31) | 63.45% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.2% ( 0.22) | 82.79% ( -0.22) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.35% ( 0.32) | 38.64% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.61% ( 0.3) | 75.38% ( -0.31) |
Boston River Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0.09) | 29.96% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.11) | 66.07% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Deportivo Maldonado 28.97%
Boston River 41.85%
Draw 29.15%
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 13.95% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 41.85% |
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 11pm
Apr 24, 2022 10.30pm
Boston River
2-0
Maldonado
Machado (22'), Fernandez (80')
Villa (49'), Perez (57'), Alberti (73'), Lopez (75')
Lopez (75')
Villa (49'), Perez (57'), Alberti (73'), Lopez (75')
Lopez (75')
Darias (29'), Borges (66'), Tealde (89')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Boston River
2-1
Maldonado
Rodriguez (81' pen.), Gonzalez (90+3')
(65')
(65')
Viatri (31')
(5'), Bogliacino (57')
(5'), Bogliacino (57')
Aug 21, 2021 4.30pm
Maldonado
0-2
Boston River
Darias (45'), da Silva (72'), Tealde (74')
Labandeira (43'), Freitas (81')
Rodriguez (45+1'), Fernandez (74')
Rodriguez (45+1'), Fernandez (74')
Jan 18, 2021 10.15pm
Boston River
5-0
Maldonado
Rodriguez (3'), Nadruz (28'), Baran (60'), Rigoleto (71')
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