Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza1 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Atletico Goianiense | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 10 | -7 | 10 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 10 | -6 | 6 |
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | River Plate |
| 30.07% | 22.88% | 47.04% |
| Both teams to score 63.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
