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Copa Libertadores
Fortaleza
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
1 - 1
River Plate

Romero (4')
Jussa (5'), Felipe (16'), Marcelo (48'), Tinga (50')
Romero (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandez (17' pen.)
Fernandez (33'), Herrera (43'), Perez (52'), Pochettino (58')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawRiver Plate
30.07%22.88%47.04%
Both teams to score 63.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.34%37.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.1%59.9%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08%58.91%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6%16.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96%46.04%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 30.07%
    River Plate 47.04%
    Draw 22.88%
FortalezaDrawRiver Plate
2-1 @ 7.19%
1-0 @ 5.65%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.07%
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.01%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-1 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 5.57%
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.92%
1-4 @ 2.52%
0-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 47.04%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs River Plate

Fortaleza
26.1%
Draw
17.4%
River Plate
56.5%
23
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2022 1am
River Plate
2-0
Fortaleza
Fernandez (10'), De la Cruz (33')
Martinez (63'), Perez (88'), Zuculini (90+5')

Marcelo (66'), Pikachu (70'), Depietri (86'), Tinga (87'), de Vargas (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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