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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16
Dec 2, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Independiente del Valle

Nacional
0 - 0
Independiente


Trezza (85')
FT
(aet)

Ortiz (45'), Ramirez (79'), Faravelli (90+1')
Nacional win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Nacional and Independiente del Valle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%).

Result
NacionalDrawIndependiente del Valle
43.8%25.51%30.68%
Both teams to score 54.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64%49.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59%71.4%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53%22.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98%56.02%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34%66%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 43.8%
    Independiente del Valle 30.68%
    Draw 25.51%
NacionalDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.11%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 30.68%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2020 10.15pm
Round of 16
Independiente
0-0
Nacional
Murillo (45')
Martinez (25'), Cougo (33')
rhs 2.0
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