Nacional1 - 0Metropolitanos
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, June 23 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
We said: Nacional 2-1 Metropolitanos
On paper, this should be a win for Nacional, particularly with home advantage in their favour. However, the pressure on their shoulders combined by the extra freedom for the visitors may lead to no more than a narrow victory for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nacional.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Metropolitanos |
54.28% ( 0) | 25.93% ( -0) | 19.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41% ( 0) | 58.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.53% ( 0) | 79.46% ( -0) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% | 21.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.9% ( 0) | 55.1% ( -0.01) |
| Metropolitanos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.01) | 44.82% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.21% ( -0) | 80.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Metropolitanos |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% 2-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.61% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 9.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.78% |
